1.
 


Contents

1. Excess mortality in young people in Europe and Spain: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Definition of the problem - Method - Results - Discussion



1.1. EuroMOMO

1.1.1. Data


1.1.2. Discussion by EuroMOMO


1.2. Spain: MoMoISCII and Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE)

1.2.1. System for monitoring daily all-cause mortality. of the Institute of Health Carlos III (MoMoISCIII)

1.2.1.1. 2017 - 2022

1.2.1.2. 2022

1.2.1.3. Canaries 2017 - 2022

1.2.1.4. Canaries 2022

1.2.1.5. Political and media discussion


1.2.2. National Institute of Statistics (INE)

1.2.2.1. 1980 - 2021

1.2.2.2. 2017 - 2022

1.2.2.3. 2020 - 2021: Causes of death between 5 and 24 years of age with the steepest increase


1.2.2.4. 2022, first half of the year: Causes of the increase in deaths among 5-24 year olds compared to 2021


1.2.2.5. 1980 - 2022, first half of the year: The main causes of the recent increase in deaths among 5-24 year-olds


1.3. Concluding discussion



2. Excess mortality in Spain in summer 2022: ABSTRACT
Definition of the problem - Method - Results - Discussion


2.1. Usual summer mortality


2.2. From June to the end of August of 2022


2.3. Discussion in the media


2.4. Concluding discussion



3.
Sources



4. Materials
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The so far puzzling increase in deaths in Spain and Europe in 2022

Excess mortality in young people in Spain: Data
1.2.1. System for monitoring daily all-cause mortality. of the Institute of Health Carlos III (MoMoISCIII)1


1.2.1.3. Canary Islands 2017 - 2022
Comparison between the population as a whole and the age group 0-14 years

GRAPH 1
Canary Islands 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2022,
all sexes, all age groups, annual presentation2
España, 0 - 14 años, 2017 - 2022
Mortality of the population as a whole shows more excesses in 2022 than in 2020, in winter and in summer.


GRAPH 2
Canary Islands 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2022,
all sexes, age group 0-14 years, monthly presentation3
España, 0 - 14 años, 2017 - 2022
TABLE 14

Year All
Age group 0 - 14 years
2022 2118
14
2021 736
-6
2020 169
-16
2019 -453
6
2018 775
18
2017 -83
-5

The annual excess mortality of the population as a whole in 2022 is thirteen times that of 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, and almost triple that of 2021.

GRAPH 3
Canary Islands 01.01.2017 to 31.12.20223,
all sexes, comparison of total population with age cohort 0 - 14 years3

Comparación niños y población, 2017 - 2022
(Own graph, R.W. To illustrate the respective trends, the children's deaths were multiplied by 100.)

For the population as a whole, the time span from early 2017 to early 2020 saw a decline in excess mortality, interrupted in 2018. The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic is within the normal range, with excess mortality below the 2018 level, which is reached in 2021. The year 2022, however, is marked by an extraordinary excess mortality, tripling that of the previous year, almost THIRTEEN times higher than in the first year of the pandemic.

For boys and girls, the peak of excess mortality is in 2018, followed by a decline to negative values even in 2020.  In 2022, however, there is a considerable increase that does not reach the 2018 values.

TABLE 2
Canary Islands 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2022,
all sexes, age group 0-14 years, monthly presentation5
Mes/Año 2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023 Media
12
-3
2
5
-2
1
4

1,2
11
2
8
-1
-4
-1
2

1,0
10
1
-3
-1
-3
5
3

0,3
9
-2
4
-4
3
0
3

0,7
8
0
-3
0
-5
-1
5

-0,7
7
0
0
4
-2
-3
-2

-0,5
6
-1
0
-1
-4
-3
1

-1,3
5
0
0
-1
-5
2
-3

-1,2
4
0
1
0
0
-5
1

-0,5
3
-3
-1
1
-1
-2
1

-0,8
2
2
4
-1
-1
-1
1
2 0,9
1
0
6
2
5
2
-1
-1 1,9
Suma
-4
18
3
-19
-6
14

1,0

The increase of the excess is seen in the winter months, from November to February (where the average is higher), much less in the winter 2020-2021 and non-existent in the winter 2021-2022. The averages for the months March to August are negative. However, in the year 2022, with a negative value until July, there is a very pronounced, long-lasting and atypical rise from August onwards. The trend does not continue in January 2023, but it does so in February.


GRAPH 4
Canary Islands,
all sexes, age cohort 0 - 14 years, comparison of monthly excess mortality from 01.01.2017 to 31.12.20224
Exceso de mortalidad desde 2017, mensualmente
(Own graph and own calculation of the mean, R.W.)

Most of the year 2022, the excess is above the average of the years since 2017.


---> Continue reading: 1.2.1.4. Canaries 2022
Comparison between the population as a whole and the age group 0-14 years




Notas





1) https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo
Elegir:
Región: España o la provincia;
Sexo, Grupo de edad, Fecha: desde - hasta. Debajo del gráfico producido está la tabla correspondiente.
Véase todas las tablas descargadas en 5. Materiales.
 
2) Downloaded with the corresponding table from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on 06/01/2023













3) Downloaded with the corresponding table from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on 06/01/2023
















4) Data of MoMoISCIII, downloaded from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on 06/01/2023.
Decreases in green, increases in red. Own colours, RW.














































5) Data downloaded in the corresponding tables (see under 4. Materiales) from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on 07/01/2023
Values above 1 in red; bold, colours and calculations of sums and averages are my own, RW.
Updated on 25/02/2023.