Reinhard Wagner

The so far puzzling increase in deaths in Spain and Europe in 2022

Excess mortality in young people in Spain: Data

1.2.1. System for monitoring daily all-cause mortality of the Institute of Health Carlos III (MoMoISCIII)¹1.2.1.4. Canary Islands 2022
Comparison between the population as a whole and the age group 0-14 years

GRAPH 1

Canary Islands, all sexes, all age groups, 01/01/2022 to 05/03/2023²

GRAPH 2

Canary Islands, all sexes, age group 0-14 years, 01/01/2022 to 05/03/2023²

TABLE 1²

Year-month	All	Age group 0 - 14 years
2023-03	-9	2
2023-02	8	-1
2023-01	-31 (Correction: 53,3->57,08)	-1
2022-12	86	4
2022-11	123	2
2022-10	168	3
2022-09	137	3
2022-08	258	5
2022-07	383	-2
2022-06	184	1
2022-05	187	-3
2022-04	85	1
2022-03	98	1
2022-02	78	1
2022-01	349	-1

(Decreases in green, increases in red. Colours are my own, RW. Updated on 07/03/2023)

(Update!) GRAPH 3

Canary Islands 01/01. to 31/12/2022, monthly data, all sexes,
comparison of total population with age cohort 0 - 14 years²

Tendencias de mortalidad en la población canaria en su conjuto en comparación con los niños de 0 a 14 años

(Own diagram, R.W. To illustrate the respective trends, the deaths of children were multiplied by 100).

For the total population, excess mortality initially decreases in the course of 2022, starting in January with excess mortality almost as high as in the following July, until it rises from May onwards and turns into very pronounced summer excess mortality, before decreasing again from November onwards.

For children, excess mortality peaks in August, with another peak in December.
See also the comparison of monthly excess mortality in this age cohort since 2017: 1.2.1.3. Canaries 2017 - 2022, TABLE 2 and GRAPH 4.

---> Continue reading: 1.2.1.5. Political and media discussion

Notes

1) https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo
Choose::
Región: Spain or a province;
Sexo, Grupo de edad (age group), Fecha (date): desde - hasta (from-to). Below the graph produced there ist the corresponding table.
See all the downloaded tables in 4. Materials.

2) Downloaded with the corresponding table, monthly presentation, from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on 07/03/2023.
To explain the legend of the diagrams and the terms used:
"'Mortalidad notificada por todas las causas' = reported all-cause mortality (that which is actually received)[light grey, RW], 'mortalidad observada por todas las causas' = observed all-cause mortality (that to which a lag estimate is applied to try to approximate what will be received)[dark grey, RW], 'estimadas base' = base estimates [blue, based on the average of past years, RW], 'exceso por todas las causas' = all-cause excess (difference between observed and base estimate mortality) and 'defunciones atribuibles al exceso' = deaths attributable to excess [red, RW] or 'defecto' = shortfall [violet, RW] of temperature (difference between expected deaths with the effect of temperature and base estimates), for the selected territorial scope, sex, age group and date range. Pay attention to the selected date range and grouping, if your range contains an incomplete week or month, it will also be shown incomplete in the aggregation."

Reinhard Wagner

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