1.
The so far puzzling increase in deaths in Spain and Europe in 2022
Excess mortality in young people in Spain: Data
GRAPH 1  For the population as a whole, the time span from early 2017 to early 2020 saw a steady decline in excess mortality, especially in winter, not so clearly discernible in the summers. From the spring of 2020 onwards, a sharp change is obvious, with unpredictable and very pronounced increases. GRAPH 2 Spain 01/01/2017
to 31/12/2022,
all sexes, age group 0-14 years and the period 2  GRAPH 33 Spain 01/01/2017
to 31/12/2022,
all sexes, all age groups compared with the age cohort 0-14 years, annual data3  (Own graph, R.W. To illustrate the respective trends, the children's deaths were multiplied by 100.) TABLE 13
At the national level, in 2019 and even 2020, the first year of the pandemic, there was a decrease in excess mortality in the 0-14 age group. From July 2021 (see below in the next TABLE 2; it is in line with the evolution at European level) it increased sharply to almost double in 2022 compared to 2021 and to exceed the 2018 excess by 6%. The 2021-2022 increase is more pronounced for children. |
| TABLE 24 |
||||||||
| Spain 2017-22, all sexes, age group 0-14 years, period 01/01/2017 to 28/02/2023, monthly presentation Negative values in green, values above 10 in red; bold, colours and calculation of means and sums are my own, R.W. |
||||||||
| Month |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 | Average |
| 12 |
47 |
-3 | 38 | -1 |
30 |
57 | 28 |
|
| 11 |
26 |
37 |
5 | -18 |
18 |
5 | 12,2 |
|
| 10 |
8 | 8 | 8 | -20 |
30 |
31 | 10,8 |
|
| 9 |
7 | 16 | -26 | -5 |
10 |
7 | 1,5 |
|
| 8 |
3 | 2 | 5 | -5 |
14 |
-2 | 2,8 |
|
| 7 |
11 |
6 | -4 |
7 | 20 |
11 |
8,5 |
|
| 6 |
11 |
-9 |
-6 |
-8 |
1 | 15 |
0,7 |
|
| 5 |
13 |
-12 |
-7 |
-26 |
1 | 22 |
-1,5 |
|
| 4 |
1 | 15 |
10 |
-4 |
-21 |
9 | 1,7 |
|
| 3 |
-20 |
24 |
14 |
-13 |
-5 |
0 | 0,0 |
|
| 2 |
-1 |
38 |
12 |
16 |
-6 |
17 | -8 | 9,7 |
| 1 |
19 | 20 |
15 |
29 |
-16 |
-18 | 6 | 7,9 |
| Sum |
125 |
142 |
64 |
-47 |
76 |
149 |
84,8 |
|
Notes
1) https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo
Select: Región: Spain or a province;
Sexo (gender), Grupo de edad (age group), Fecha (date/space of time):
desde - hasta (from - until). Below the graph produced there is the
corresponding table.
See all the downloaded tables in 4. Materials.
2) Downloaded with the corresponding table, annual presentation, from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo on
06/01/2023
To explain the legend of the diagrams and the terms used:
"'Mortalidad notificada por todas las causas' = reported all-cause
mortality (that which is actually received)[light grey, RW],
'mortalidad observada por todas las causas' = observed all-cause
mortality (that to which a lag estimate is applied to try to approximate
what will be received)[dark grey, RW], 'estimadas base' = base
estimates [blue, based on the average of past years, RW], 'exceso
por todas las causas' = all-cause excess (difference between observed
and base estimate mortality) and 'defunciones atribuibles al exceso' =
deaths attributable to excess [red, RW] or 'defecto' = shortfall
[violet, RW] of temperature (difference between expected deaths
with the effect of temperature and base estimates), for the selected
territorial scope, sex, age group and date range. Pay attention to the
selected date range and grouping, if your range contains an incomplete
week or month, it will also be shown incomplete in the aggregation."
3) Data of MoMoISCIII, downloaded from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo
on 06/01/2023.
4) Data downloaded from https://momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#section-momo
on 07/01/2023, updated on 07/03/2023.
Summing the monthly data for the age group 0 - 14 years for the years
2017 to 2020 in table 2, on the basis of the MoMoISCIII data, there
result minor differences with the annual data in table 1.
(Un)Publications